Aleksey Ostapchuk, director of the Laboratory of Geosphere Dynamics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, said that the prediction of earthquakes in Europe after earthquakes in Turkey is just speculation, far from the truth.
Ostapchuk, an assistant professor in the Department of Theoretical and Experimental Physics of Geological Systems at the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, said in an interview with the Izvestia newspaper that two Turkish earthquakes are a real disaster, and of course they will cause a series of aftershocks, but only in the same area.
He says: “Earthquakes in Turkey and Syria are caused by the activation of a rift (release of accumulated tectonic forces) in eastern Anatolia, where earthquakes of magnitude 7 or more occur from time to time. The most active rift areas are well known. Earthquakes themselves obey a special law of frequency – the Gutenberg-Richter law, which describes the relationship between earthquake strength and frequency.
It is normal, he said, that such earthquakes are usually followed by a series of aftershocks in the same area. Therefore, statements about a wave of earthquakes that could overwhelm Europe are just assumptions that do not correspond to reality.
He says: “It cannot be said that the activation of the fault and the beginning of the strongest earthquakes occur in waves, but rather, all this is very similar to the behavior of an unstable sand hill: if you periodically add sand to it, it becomes larger and larger, and stress builds up easily, and in that moment, To which the last grains of sand are added, it begins to collapse sharply, but only partially. its square and stop. The same thing happens in the distribution of energy when an earthquake occurs.
The expert notes that the area where the earthquakes occurred is still in a state of tension and needs time to calm down.
Source: Izvestia newspaper.
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